As President Obama today announces a series of onerous, unilateral new regulations to try to limit carbon emissions, a leading climate scientist is acknowledging that the lack of warming over the past 15 years contradicts 98 percent of the climate change models, and that another five years of static temperatures will force scientists to completely revamp the theory.
In an interview with Der Spiegel, one of Europe’s major news outlets, German climate scientist Hans Von Storch said the failure of climate change models is a “puzzle” that presents “a serious scientific problem.”
So far, no one has been able to provide a compelling answer to why climate change seems to be taking a break. We’re facing a puzzle. Recent CO2 emissions have actually risen even more steeply than we feared. As a result, according to most climate models, we should have seen temperatures rise by around 0.25 degrees Celsius (0.45 degrees Fahrenheit) over the past 10 years. That hasn’t happened. In fact, the increase over the last 15 years was just 0.06 degrees Celsius (0.11 degrees Fahrenheit) — a value very close to zero. This is a serious scientific problem.
Von Storch estimated that the lack of warming conforms with less than two percent of climate change forecasts, and that 98 percent predicted more of an increase in temperature. If this continues, it will be ruinous for the current forecasting models.
If things continue as they have been, in five years, at the latest, we will need to acknowledge that something is fundamentally wrong with our climate models. A 20-year pause in global warming does not occur in a single modeled scenario. But even today, we are finding it very difficult to reconcile actual temperature trends with our expectations.
Von Storch agrees that there is man made global warming – his research has even provided evidence of the link – though he has expressed concern that some scientists are over-hyping alarm about the consequences. Now he says the explanations for the problems with the models can only be that either greenhouse gases have less of an effect on the climate than feared or that the models fail to sufficiently take into account fluctuations in temperature due to natural causes.
Obama’s speech today at Georgetown University will lay out bold measures for reducing greenhouse gas emissions, strategies that presuppose a significant effect by humans on the climate. With Congress having balked at acting on many of the emissions reduction proposals Obama supports, the president will lay out a series of plans using unilateral executive action to limit emissions from power plants and vehicles, while lavishing new money on energy efficiency projects and international climate change mitigation efforts.
Storch’s comments, however, suggest it may still be too early for draconian steps that adversely impact the economy, especially when the U.S. economic recovery is at such a fragile juncture.
Just Put Your Lips Together
In the age of Obama Chicago-style politics, it is no longer possible to assume safe passage if you choose to rat out your superiors and become a whistle-blower. In addition to bugging phone calls and intimidating reporters, the Obama Administration is prosecuting a record number of whistle blowers.
Snowden has certainly broken the law, and with his subsequent revelations about U.S. spying on foreign officials, he has arguably ceded the moral high ground as well. But what about whistleblowers who have merely violated the unwritten bureaucratic code of silence? By prosecuting so many leaks, and by creating its so-called “Insider Threat Program” to combat even less serious leaks, is the Obama administration creating an especially hostile environment for innocent officials who step forward to point out wrongdoing and incompetence?
The Associated Press’s sources within government seem to think so. AP President Gary Pruitt says they have clammed up, refusing even to provide background information or confirmation of basic facts reporters need, thanks to the Justice Department’s recently revealed spying on AP reporters’ phone activity. Mission accomplished.
It’s wishful thinking to assume that Snowden could have safely gone to Congress without prosecution given the nature of the information that he revealed. Snowden blew the whistle on the Obama Administration’s abuse of power, revealing to us that phone records and internet activity for all American citizens is now collected and stored by the Federal Government.
Snowden’s revelations come within the context of the IRS harassment of political enemies, the wire-tapping of the AP and other news organizations, stories of media harassment, bullying and intimidation, including the targeting of Fox News reporter, James Rosen, labeled a “criminal co-conspirator” as a result of traditional journalist work.
The brouhaha with Russia and China and the “where’s Waldo-Snowden” mystery serve only to deflect attention from the Obama Administration’s abuse and probable misuse of information.
The boot of Big Gov. is indeed firmly on the necks of the American citizen and it is my opinion that our freedoms are at risk from within our government more so than from without.